Futures Trading Win and Lose
Futures trading --
win and lose -- is usually a matter of doing your
homework. This homework can either be technical or
fundamental in nature. Technical means such things as
chart reading, moving average crossovers and
oversold/overbought situations. Fundamental can be a crop
report, supply inventory reports or the current weather
predictions. In either case, the
better the information, the better the chances of winning
on a specific
trade.
Many futures traders are advocates of technical trading as
these trades are of a short duration. Short time in the trade
compared to a stock trade. Fundamental trading is the long-term
outlook for the price of the commodity. The grain markets are
likely to see this during a crop year as the reports begin to
suggest there will be a bumper crop or a shortfall crop.
In futures trading you can win or lose based on their
ability to analyze the facts and come up with the right answer.
They also have to be aware they may be early in a correct
assessment and be forced to get out of trade that goes in the
wrong direction temporarily. The one rule that should be
followed at all times is you do not fight the market. Take
small losses quickly and wait for a better time to enter the
trade. Patience is a determining factor in winning and
losing.
Do not let stubbornness ruin the chances for success. To be
good at futures trading you need to be humble and be quick to
admit you are on the wrong side of a trade. A three-cent loss
on a grain contract is only $150. A 25-cent win is $1250 per
contract. Moves of this size or larger happen every trading
year. Be smart about losses and never fall in love with a trade
so you can be as successful as possible in futures
trading.
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